Narrow search
Showing 1 - 10 of 3,298
Cover Image
Bond risk premia forecasting : a simple approach for extracting macroeconomic information from a panel of indicators
Audrino, Francesco; Corsi, Fulvio; Filipova, Kameliya - In: Econometric reviews 35 (2016) 1/4, pp. 232-256
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011549916
Cover Image
Business forecasting and economic cycles
Karsten, Siegfried G.; Karsten, S. G. - 1990
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011519626
Cover Image
Systematic errors in growth expectations over the business cycle
Dovern, Jonas; Jannsen, Nils - 2015
-cycle states. We show that forecasts for recessions are subject to a large negative systematic forecast error (forecasters … overestimate growth), while forecasts for recoveries are subject to a positive systematic forecast error. Forecasts made for … expansions have, if anything, a small systematic forecast error for large forecast horizons. When we link information about the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010486869
Cover Image
An overview of forecasting facing breaks
Castle, Jennifer; Clements, Michael P.; Hendry, David F. - 2016
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451503
Cover Image
Wendepunkte in Finanzmärkten : Prognose und asset allocation
Huber, Claus - 2000
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001461424
Cover Image
Monitoring the economy in real time : trends and gaps in real activity and prices
Hasenzagl, Thomas; Pellegrino, Filippo; Reichlin, Lucrezia - 2022
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012820395
Cover Image
The expectational effects of news in business cycles : evidence from forecast data
Miyamoto, Wataru; Nguyen, Thuy Lan - In: Journal of monetary economics 116 (2020), pp. 184-200
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012495170
Cover Image
Model averaging in Markov-switching models : predicting national recessions with regional data
Guérin, Pierre; Leiva-Leon, Danilo - In: Economics letters 157 (2017), pp. 45-49
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011847300
Cover Image
Forecasting in the presence of instabilities : how do we know whether models predict well and how to improve them
Rossi, Barbara - 2019 - This Draft: November 2019
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012209873
Cover Image
Forecasting the next dry cargo shipping depression beyond 2018
Goulielmos, Alexandros M. - In: Modern economy 10 (2019) 7, pp. 1684-1712
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012179155