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Fiscal Policies and Business Cycles in an Enlarged Euro Area
Staehr, Karsten - 2008
This paper compares the cyclical properties of fiscal policies across the 12 original eurozone countries and the future … counter-cyclical in Central and Eastern European countries than in members of the eurozone. The main differences arise from … the revenue side. Differences in the formation of fiscal policy between current and future eurozone countries decrease …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012772398
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Fiscal Policies and Business Cycles in an Enlarged Euro Area
Staehr, Karsten - 2008
This paper compares the cyclical properties of fiscal policies across the 12 original eurozone countries and the future … counter-cyclical in Central and Eastern European countries than in members of the eurozone. The main differences arise from … the revenue side. Differences in the formation of fiscal policy between current and future eurozone countries decrease …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012773620
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Survey-based structural budget balances
Göttert, Marcell; Wollmershäuser, Timo - 2021
The budget dispute between Italy and the European Commission in 2018 gave new impetus for the debate about the reliability of output gap estimation methods and their use for calculating structural budget balances. In this paper we review the main properties of the mainstream approaches and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012438332
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Survey-based structural budget balances
Göttert, Marcell; Wollmershäuser, Timo - 2021
The budget dispute between Italy and the European Commission in 2018 gave new impetus for the debate about the reliability of output gap estimation methods and their use for calculating structural budget balances. In this paper we review the main properties of the mainstream approaches and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012504787
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Fiscal rules and economic cycles : quality (always) matters
Andrián, Leandro; Hirs-Garzón, Jorge; Urrea, Iván; … - 2023
Governments can issue public debt for both good and bad reasons. The former include intertemporal tax smoothing, fiscal stimulus, and asset management. In contrast, the bad reasons, which generate higher indebtedness, are mainly associated with political cycles, rent capture, intergenerational...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014480731
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Escaping the Great Recession
Bianchi, Francesco; Melosi, Leonardo - 2016
We show that policy uncertainty about how the rising public debt will be stabilized accounts for the lack of deflation in the US economy at the zero lower bound. We first estimate a Markov-switching VAR to highlight that a zero-lower-bound regime captures most of the comovements during the Great...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011560569
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Escaping the Great Recession
Bianchi, Francesco - 2016
We show that policy uncertainty about how the rising public debt will be stabilized accounts for the lack of deflation in the US economy at the zero lower bound. We first estimate a Markov-switching VAR to highlight that a zero-lower-bound regime captures most of the comovements during the Great...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012979122
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Escaping the Great Recession
Bianchi, Francesco - 2014
While high uncertainty is an inherent implication of the economy entering the zero lower bound, deflation is not, because agents are likely to be uncertain about the way policymakers will deal with the large stock of debt arising from a severe recession. We draw this conclusion based on a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013040335
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Escaping the Great Recession
Bianchi, Francesco - 2015
High uncertainty is an inherent implication of the zero lower bound, while deflation is not because of inflationary pressure due to uncertainty about how debt will be stabilized. We show that policy uncertainty empirically accounts for the absence of deflation in the US economy. Announcing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035011
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Escaping the Great Recession
Bianchi, Francesco; Melosi, Leonardo - 2014 - This draft: January 2014
While high uncertainty is an inherent implication of the economy entering the zero lower bound, deflation is not, because agents are likely to be uncertain about the way policymakers will deal with the large stock of debt arising from a severe recession. We draw this conclusion based on a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010439777