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While Federal Reserve continues to normalize its monetary policy on the back of a strengthening U.S. economy, the possibility of mimicking U.S. policy actions and so the debate of monetary autonomy has been particularly heated in the most of developing countries, even in advanced economies. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012147194
We use a unique Brazilian dataset on daily survey expectations to obtain direct measures of shocks to central bank target rates and changes in economic uncertainty. Using these measures, we gauge the effect of monetary policy shocks on economic uncertainty, term premia, inflation expectations,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860102
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003378773
Financial intermediaries issue the majority of liquid securities, and nonfinancial firms have become net savers, holding intermediaries' debt as cash. This paper shows that intermediaries' liquidity creation stimulates growth -- firms hold their debt for unhedgeable investment needs -- but also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011968932
The aim of this paper is to study how macroeconomic impulses can affect the term structure during the Great Moderation. As novelty in the research strategy, we create a term-structure using three latent factors of the yield curve. A Nelson-Siegel Model is implemented to estimate the latent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014144946
Using a panel of survey‐based measures of future interest rates from the Survey of Professional Forecasters, we study the dynamic relationship between shocks to monetary policy expectations and fluctuations in economic activity and inflation. We propose a smallscale structured recursive vector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971223
Using a panel of survey-based measures of future interest rates from the Survey of Professional Forecasters, we study the dynamic relationship between shocks to monetary policy expectations and fluctuations in economic activity and inflation. We propose a small-scale structured recursive vector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013023060
particular are robust (a gradual 0.4 percentage point increase), lasting more than two years after the initial shock. Interest … backbone for our empirical results, via an “option value” channel. Theory yields sizeable real effects and a muted monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313628
particular are robust (a gradual 0.4 percentage point increase), lasting more than two years after the initial shock. Interest … backbone for our empirical results, via an “option value” channel. Theory yields sizeable real effects and a muted monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313883
This paper identifies a precautionary banking liquidity shock via a set of sign, zero and forecast variance … restrictions imposed. The shock proxies the reluctance of the banking sector to "lend" to the real economy induced by an exogenous … change in financial intermediaries' preference for "high" liquid assets. The identified shock has sizeable and state …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012483779