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We develop a theoretical model that features a business cycle-dependent relation between out- put, price inflation and … inflation expectations, augmenting the model by Svensson (1997) with a nonlinear Phillips curve that reflects the rationale … pronounced convex relationship between inflation and the output gap, meaning that the coefficient in the Phillips curve on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636803
We develop a theoretical model that features a business cycle-dependent relation between output, price inflation and … inflation expectations, augmenting the model by Svensson (1997) with a nonlinear Phillips curve that reflects the rationale … pronounced convex relationship between inflation and the output gap, meaning that the co-efficient in the Phillips curve on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963916
aggregate inflation and the higher-order moments of the distribution of relative price changes. Our empirical findings confirm … explanatory variable for the inflation rate. Further, the skewness measure also helps to explain shifts in the Phillips curve …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011476471
framework we examine the twelve potential intertemporal relationships between inflation, growth and their respective … uncertainties using US data. We find that high inflation is detrimental to output growth both directly and indirectly via the … nominal uncertainty. Output growth boosts inflation but mainly indirectly through a reduction in real uncertainty. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013068979
The low rate of inflation observed in the U.S. over the entire past decade is hard to reconcile with traditional … the job explains this missing inflation. We derive this novel concept of slack from a model in which a drop in the on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012222536
hand and the inflation rate on the other hand. Empirically, we estimate this relationship by developing three different … markets for goods and services will push up inflation. We show the empirical relevance of the modified output gap for Spain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011946383
-the-job search makes such wage competition less likely, reducing expected labor costs and lowering inflation. This model explains why … inflation has remained subdued over the last decade, which is a conundrum for general equilibrium models and Phillips curves …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012172527
three inflation will increase (decrease) in the next quarter and three times out of five it will increase (decrease) the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014112841
Inflation and unemployment rate were largely disconnected between 2000 and 2019 in advanced economies. We decompose … core inflation into two parts based on the cyclical sensitivity of CPI components and document several salient facts: (i … inflation and unemployment rate. The approach has potential to help understand forces shaping price pressures during the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014082956
inflation volatility.Also, causality tests results indicate that changes in the exchangerate, output gap volatility, and output … gap will have permanent andtemporary causal effects on inflation volatility. The policymakersshould carefully consider … these results to implement appropriatepolicies to reduce inflation volatility. The finding that the shocks areof temporary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014312187