The description of the dynamics and fluctuations of macro variables remains one of the most exciting problems of financial economics. This paper models macro variables via the description of transactions between agents. We use risk ratings x of agents as their coordinates in the economic space....

Problem/Relevance - This paper presents new description of the business cycles that for decades remain as relevant and important economic problem. Research Objective/Questions - We propose that econometrics can provide sufficient data for assessments of risk ratings for almost all economic...

This paper develops parallels between economics and physics and describes macroeconomics as multi-agent systems on economic space alike to multi-particle systems. Economic agents play roles of simple units of macroeconomics alike to “economic particles” and agent's risk ratings define their...

This paper presents business cycle model that is not based on assumptions of general equilibrium framework. We describe economic transactions between agents and assessment of agents risk as ground and tools for business cycle modeling. We treat agents risk ratings x as their coordinates x on...

This paper presents general approach to description of business cycles aggregate fluctuations of economic and financial variables. We model economics as ensemble of agents on economic space and agent's risk ratings play role of their coordinates. Aggregation of variables of agents with...

This paper presents general approach to description of business cycles aggregate fluctuations of economic and financial variables. We model economics as ensemble of agents on economic space and agent's risk ratings play role of their coordinates. Aggregation of variables of agents with...

This paper describes evolution of economic and financial transactions between agents as ground for modelling fluctuations of economic and financial variables. We use risk ratings x of agents as their coordinates x on economic space. Transactions between agents define evolution of their economic...

Forecasting of business cycles and description of fluctuations of different variables are of great importance for economic policy and development. We model macroeconomics as system of economic agents. Aggregations of agents’ variables as credits, investment, demand and etc., define...