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the impact of uncertainty shocks on unemployment dynamics. Using a vector autoregression approach, we show that … uncertainty shocks measured by stock market volatility have a significant impact on the U.S. unemployment rate. We then develop a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012243477
Using the new AWFP dataset that covers all German establishments, we document a substantial cross-sectional heterogeneity of establishments' average real wages over the business cycle. While the median establishments' real wages are procyclical, there is a large fraction of establishments with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011735900
unemployment, this paper theoretically investigates the importance of labor market duality on labor market volatilities. The new … insight is that duality leads to a non-linear reaction of unemployment volatility for both supply and demand shocks. A … subsequent empirical panel data analysis confirms the model predictions. Uncovering the non-linearity in unemployment volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010439587
business cycle. Second, a shock that moves the land price is capable of generating large volatility in unemployment. Our … facts observed in the data. First, the land price and the unemployment rate tend to move in opposite directions over the … estimation indicates that a 10 percent drop in the land price leads to a 0.34 percentage point increase in the unemployment rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010126854
Skill erosion during unemployment was of particular concern as unemployment duration increased in the Great Recession … unemployment pool's skill composition, and hence the output produced by other firms' new hires. As a consequence, job creation is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013048390
There is little internal propagation of unemployment in standard search and matching models. When calibrated to the … high levels of worker flows observed empirically, unemployment in these models rapidly converges back to its steady state … level. We illustrate that even with high worker flows between employment and unemployment, slow movements in the composition …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013238105
This paper analyses how labour market heterogeneity affects unemployment, productivity and business cycle dynamics that … skilled workers increases the natural rate of unemployment and reduces total factor productivity with long- run effects on the … Beveridge curves. Skill-specific labour market heterogeneity leads to a attening of the Phillips curve as wages and unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012880717
unemployment. As such, our work contributes to resolving twolimitations of current general equilibrium labor-search theory: under … standard calibrations modelswithout OTJ search generate implausibly low unemployment volatility, while models with OTJsearch … generate unemployment volatility closer to the data but at the expense of implausibly lowconsumption and labor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012950419
This article contrasts the experiences of the United States and United Kingdom during and after the Great Recession to understand the role of financial shocks in the magnitude of the crises and length of the recoveries. It starts from the common consensus that the Great Recession first and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014263358
. Unemployed workers' skill losses generate multiple steady-state unemployment rates. When monetary policy is constrained by the … permanent unemployment trap. Since monetary policy is powerless to escape such traps ex post, it must avoid them ex ante. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012931966