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We augment a linearized dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with a tractable endogenous risk mechanism … their conditional distributions. In particular, the model matches the key stylized facts of growth at risk. Accounting for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300643
individual financial risk taste changes over time with the background macroeconomic and financial conditions, as well as personal … and subjective exposure to portfolio risk. Considering six different self-assessed facets, we find that risk appetite is … higher during periods of economic growth and lower during periods of recession. Risk taste is however unrelated to time when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034711
Macroeconomic uncertainty—the conditional volatility of the unforecastable component of a future value of a time series—shows considerable variation in the data. A typical assumption in business cycle models is that production is Cobb-Douglas. Under that assumption, this paper shows there is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012230543
We propose a new time-varying peaks over threshold model to study tail risk dynamics in equity markets: the laws of …-sorted decile stock portfolios and show that large firm tail risk increases during recessions more than small firms tail risk. Our … risk shocks on the economy. A measure of tail connectedness is proposed: evidence from international equity markets shows …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972558
EMEs - to satisfy their Value-at-Risk constraints - in response to uncertainty shocks, borrowing costs increase and …
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