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This paper predicts phases of the financial cycle by using a continuous financial stress measure in a Markov switching framework. The debt service ratio and property market variables signal a transition to a high financial stress regime, while economic sentiment indicators provide signals for a...
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The global financial crisis in 2007 prompted policy makers to introduce a combination of bank regulation and … economies where financial frictions are important. Although there is an extensive literature on financial regulation and … independently. The results point to the importance of coordination between financial regulation and monetary policy in minimizing …
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per se do not on average impact on this premium. Default risk and the inflation risk differential between Canada and the … US significantly impact on the Canada–US equity premium. Abnormal positive performance observed for US smallcaps in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119888
I investigate a model of the U.S. economy with nominal rigidities and a financial accelerator mechanism à la Bernanke et al. (1999). I calculate total factor productivity and monetary policy deviations for the U.S. and quantitatively explore the ability of the model to account for the cyclical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034595
Asymmetries in volatility spillovers are highly relevant to risk valuation and portfolio diversification strategies in financial markets. Yet, the large literature studying information transmission mechanisms ignores the fact that bad and good volatility may spill over at different magnitudes....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010407529
How do the business cycle effects of loan supply shocks depend on the state of prudential regulation in the euro area … regulation. We find that in tight regimes, expansionary shocks trigger a boom-bust cycle. In the loose regime, results appear … historical development of prudential regulation in the euro area, which is primarily characterized by prudential tightening. …
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