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We study the link between the global financial cycle and macroeconomic tail risks using quantile vector autoregressions. Contractionary shocks to financial conditions and monetary policy in the United States cause elevated downside risks to growth around the world. By tightening financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013459721
cycle adding information from bank-level balance sheet data to a SVAR with sign restrictions. We find that the short-run GDP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011848185
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How do the business cycle effects of loan supply shocks depend on the state of prudential regulation in the euro area? To address this question, we first identify regulatory cycles from a cumulative prudential policy index that tracks the evolution of the regulatory stance in the euro area....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014636947
the period 2003Q1-2019Q4 with a special emphasis on credit conditions. With the help of this model, monetary policy … determining the relative weight of these states over time. We show that shocks to the credit spread and shocks to credit standards … directly lead to a reduction of real GDP growth, whereas shocks to the quantity of credit are less important in explaining …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012320523
the period 2003Q1–2019Q4 with a special emphasis on credit conditions. With the help of this model, monetary policy … determining the relative weight of these states over time. We show that shocks to the credit spread and shocks to credit standards … directly lead to a reduction of real GDP growth, whereas shocks to the quantity of credit are less important in explaining …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012383710
the period 2003Q1-2019Q4 with a special emphasis on credit conditions. With the help of this model, monetary policy … determining the relative weight of these states over time. We show that shocks to the credit spread and shocks to credit standards … directly lead to a reduction of real GDP growth, whereas shocks to the quantity of credit are slightly less important in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013328355
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012039082
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003315521