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Fiscal Histories
Cochrane, John H. - 2022
The fiscal theory states that inflation adjusts so that the real value of government debt equals the present value of … fiscal theory to interpret historical episodes, including the rise and fall of inflation in the 1970s and 1980s, the long … pegs, the ends of hyperinflations, currency crashes, and the success of inflation targets. Going forward, fiscal theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014079501
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The dire effects of the lack of monetary and fiscal coordination
Bianchi, Francesco; Melosi, Leonardo - 2017
What happens if the government's willingness to stabilize a large stock of debt is waning, while the central bank is adamant about preventing a rise in inflation? The large fiscal imbalance brings about inflationary pressures, triggering a monetary tightening, further debt accumulation, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011774982
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Escaping the Great Recession
Bianchi, Francesco; Melosi, Leonardo - 2016
We show that policy uncertainty about how the rising public debt will be stabilized accounts for the lack of deflation in the US economy at the zero lower bound. We first estimate a Markov-switching VAR to highlight that a zero-lower-bound regime captures most of the comovements during the Great...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011560569
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Escaping the Great Recession
Bianchi, Francesco - 2016
We show that policy uncertainty about how the rising public debt will be stabilized accounts for the lack of deflation in the US economy at the zero lower bound. We first estimate a Markov-switching VAR to highlight that a zero-lower-bound regime captures most of the comovements during the Great...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012979122
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Escaping the Great Recession
Bianchi, Francesco - 2014
While high uncertainty is an inherent implication of the economy entering the zero lower bound, deflation is not, because agents are likely to be uncertain about the way policymakers will deal with the large stock of debt arising from a severe recession. We draw this conclusion based on a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013040335
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Escaping the Great Recession
Bianchi, Francesco - 2015
High uncertainty is an inherent implication of the zero lower bound, while deflation is not because of inflationary pressure due to uncertainty about how debt will be stabilized. We show that policy uncertainty empirically accounts for the absence of deflation in the US economy. Announcing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035011
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Escaping the Great Recession
Bianchi, Francesco; Melosi, Leonardo - 2014 - This draft: January 2014
While high uncertainty is an inherent implication of the economy entering the zero lower bound, deflation is not, because agents are likely to be uncertain about the way policymakers will deal with the large stock of debt arising from a severe recession. We draw this conclusion based on a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010439777
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Policy Stability and Economic Growth : Lessons from the Great Recession
Haldane, Andrew; Minford, Patrick; Radia, Amar; Taylor, … - 2021
The recovery from the recession after the financial crisis, in both the UK and the US, has been very slow compared with other similar events in history. During the period before the financial crash and afterwards, monetary policy deviated from the very effeective rules-based approach of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013225300
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Has Inflation Targeting Strategy Made A Difference in Ghanaian Macroeconomic Management? Analysis of Business Cycle Fluctuations and Econometric Estimates
Akosah, Nana Kwame; Paul Alagidede, Imhotep; Schaling, Eric - 2020
For over a decade of practicing inflation targeting (IT) strategy, inflation has remained high and persistent while economic growth momentum has boosted in Ghana. This paper investigates the relative macroeconomic benefits of the IT strategy in Ghana based on business cycle fluctuations and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014093032
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The Macroeconomic Policy Challenges of Balance Sheet Recession : Lessons from Japan for the European Crisis
Schnabl, Gunther - 2013
The paper compares the boom-and-bust cycles in Japan and Europe with respect to the reasons for excessive booms, the characteristics of the crises, and the (potential) effects of the crisis therapies. As in Japan the consequence of expansionary monetary and fiscal policies is the hysteresis of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081055