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What has caused global business cycle decoupling : smaller shocks or reduced sensitivity?
Berger, Tino; Richter, Julia - 2017
According to a growing body of empirical literature, global shocks have become less important for business cycles in industrialized countries and emerging market economies since the mid-1980s. In this paper, we analyze the question of what might have caused a decoupling from the global business...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011584095
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The time-varying effects of permanent and transistory shocks to real output
Keating, John William; Valcarcel, Victor J. - In: Macroeconomic dynamics 19 (2015) 3, pp. 477-507
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011308634
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Forecasting with VAR models : fat tails and stochastic volatility
Chiu, Ching Wai Jeremy; Mumtaz, Haroon; Pinter, Gabor - 2015
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011312174
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Time changing effects of external shocks on macroeconomic fluctuations in Peru: empirical application using regime-switching VAR models with stochastic volatility
Chávez, Paulo; Rodriguez, Gabriel - 2022 - Primera edición
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013273077
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Forecasting with VAR models : fat tails and stochastic volatility
Chiu, Ching Wai Jeremy; Mumtaz, Haroon; Pintér, Gábor - In: International journal of forecasting 33 (2017) 4, pp. 1124-1143
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011746951
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Fast and accurate variational inference for large Bayesian VARs with stochastic volatility
Chan, Joshua; Yu, Xuewen - 2020
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012542396
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Time changing effects of external shocks on macroeconomic fluctuations in Peru : empirical application using regime-switching VAR models with stochastic volatility
Chávez, Paulo; Rodriguez, Gabriel - In: Review of world economics 159 (2023) 2, pp. 505-544
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014308071
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The effect of the great moderation on the US business cycle in a time-varying multivariate trend-cycle model
Creal, Drew; Koopman, Siem Jan; Zivot, Eric - 2008
accounts for time variation in macroeconomic volatility, known as the great moderation. In particular, we consider an … volatility processes and mixture distributions for the irregular components and the common cycle disturbances enable us to … that time-varying volatility is only present in the a selection of idiosyncratic components while the coefficients driving …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011376640
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Time-varying effects of external shocks on macroeconomic fluctuations in Peru: an empirical application using TPV-VAR SV models
Ojeda Cunya, Junior Alex; Rodriguez, Gabriel - 2021 - Primera edición
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013273010
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Credit spread and employment growth : a time-varying relationship?
Nordström, Martin - In: Applied economics letters 28 (2021) 1, pp. 23-31
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012415041