Using sectoral data at a medium level of aggregation, we find that price changes became less responsive to aggregate unemployment around 2009–2010. The slopes of the disaggregated Phillips curves diminished in many sectors, including housing and some services. We also document a decrease in...

We embed human capital-based endogenous growth into a New-Keynesian model with search and matching frictions in the labor market and skill obsolescence from long-term unemployment. The model can account for key features of the Great Recession: a decline in productivity growth, the relative...

We study a model in which firms compete to retain and attract workers searching on the job. A drop in the rate of on-the-job search makes such wage competition less likely, reducing expected labor costs and lowering inflation. This model explains why inflation has remained subdued over the last...

The importance of China's economy and the instability of China's financial system are in the spotlight recently. This paper uses Austrian Business Cycle Theory to gauge the potential risks of China's economy. The approach of this paper is a sector analysis, focusing on China's monetary and...

On their intensive margins, firms in the British engineering industry adjusted to the severe falls in demand during the 1930s Depression by cutting hours of work. This provided an important means of reducing labour input and marginal labour costs, through movements from overtime to short-time...

Using a money-in-the-utility-function model, we present long-run stagnation where insatiable demand for money secularly causes deficient aggregate demand and thereby unemployment in the presence of nominal wage stickiness attributable to union wage setting. In this long-run stagnation, generous...

All else equal, higher wages translate into higher inflation. More rigid wages imply a weaker response of inflation to shocks. This view of the wage channel is deeply entrenched in central banks’ views and models of their economies. In this paper, we present a model with equilibrium...

This paper estimates a series of shocks to hit the US economy during the Great Depression, using a New Keynesian model with unemployment and bargaining frictions. Shocks to long-run inflation expectations appear to account for much of the cyclical behavior of employment, while an increase in...

In this paper we set up a baseline, but nevertheless advanced and complete model representing detailed goods market dynamics, heterogeneous labor markets, dual and cross-dual wage-price adjustment processes, as well as counter-cyclical government policies. The cyclical movements of output...