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generate stronger comovement, because they combine shock propagation with synchronization of endogenous dynamics. In particular … synchronization. Next, we calibrate the model to data on 24 countries and show that the empirical level of comovement can only be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013489752
The paper reviews adjustment dynamics in the EMU on the basis of estimated DSGE models for four large EA Member States (DE, FR, IT, ES). We compare the response of the four countries to identical shocks and find a particularly strong response of employment and wages in ES, a high sensitivity of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012268789
The paper reviews adjustment dynamics in the EMU on the basis of estimated DSGE models for four large EA Member States (DE, FR, IT, ES). We compare the response of the four countries to identical shocks and find a particularly strong response of employment and wages in ES, a high sensitivity of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012054993
more straightforward routes to capturing some of the transnational aspects of the recent Great Recession (of 2008/09) than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013029148
Are business cycles different according to the exchange rate regime? Baxter & Stockman have inconclusive results. We reinvestigate this question with more recent data and a different methodology and find evidence, for some aggregates, that their business cycle behavior has changed. We then try...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014183752
This paper analyzes the role of world price shocks, namely fluctuations in the prices of capital, intermediate and primary goods, and the world real interest rate, in the generation and propagation of business cycles in developing countries, using a stochastic dynamic multi-sector model of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014222322
This paper investigates the sources of output volatility by decomposing the international shocks into finance and trade shocks. Through structural Bayesian estimations of an open-economy DSGE model on 16 countries, on average, it is found that international shocks explain around 70% of output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133507
We provide a structural investigation and interpretation of the questions: What is the origin of business cycle fluctuations? What is the main source of recessions, in particular, since the early 1970s? Are there energy business cycles? Indirect Inference estimation of a two-sector dynamic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855767
This paper uses a data set covering the universe of French firm-level sales, imports, and exports over the period 1993-2007 and a quantitative multi-country model to study the international transmission of business cycle shocks at both the micro and the macro levels. The largest firms are both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012319273
This paper uses a data set covering the universe of French firm-level sales, imports, and exports over the period 1993-2007 and a quantitative multi-country model to study the international transmission of business cycle shocks at both the micro and the macro levels. The largest firms are both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014090698