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This paper explores asset pricing implications of unemployment risk from sectoral shifts. I proxy for this risk using cross-industry dispersion (CID), defined as a mean absolute deviation of returns of 49 industry portfolios. CID peaks during periods of accelerated sectoral reallocation and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254871
We develop an equilibrium lifecycle model of education, marriage and labor supply and consumption in a transferable utility context. Individuals start by choosing their investments in education anticipating returns in the marriage market and the labor market. They then match based on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010498621
returns corresponding investment patterns must predict investment returns to the same extent. The no arbitrage condition also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013248040
The last 15 years has brought forth an explosion of research on consumption-based asset pricing as a leading contender for explaining aggregate stock market behavior. This research has propelled further interest in consumption-based asset pricing, as well as some debate. This chapter surveys the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128099
Electricity consumption is a useful real-time proxy for economic activities, as most modern-day economic activities involve the use of electricity, which cannot be easily stored. Empirically, electricity consumption data is widely available in high frequency at both aggregate and disaggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128527
The paper investigates the role of the Intertemporal Elasticity of Substitution (IES ) in determining the equity premium. This is done in an overlapping generations economy populated by agents that live for 2 periods and maximize a Kihlstrom-Mirman expected utility function. The equity premium...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136088
We conduct empirical tests of a simplified version of the ratio habit model developed in Abel(1990), in which habit is extended beyond the preceding period. We show that change in four-year consumption growth---the measure of consumption resulting from our ratio habit preference---explains the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838606
How important are volatility fluctuations for asset prices and the macroeconomy? We find that a rise in macroeconomic volatility is associated with a rise in discount rates and a decline in consumption. To study the impact of volatility we provide a framework in which cashflow, discount-rate,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012825227
We examine the implications of short-run and long-run consumption risks on the momentum and long-term contrarian profits and the value premium in a unified economic framework. By introducing time-varying firm cash flow exposures to the short-run and long-run shocks in consumption growth, we find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007492
We show that a business-cycle component of consumption growth (dubbed business-cycle consumption) with cycles between 2 and 4 years is effective in explaining the differences in risk premia across alternative test assets, including recently-proposed anomaly portfolios. We formalize the mapping...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856904