Pedroni, Marcelo; Singh, Swapnil; Stoltenberg, Christian - 2022 - Preliminary, April 15, 2022
We investigate whether US households possess advance information about their future income and what this means for … requires only panel data on consumption and income. Using the Panel Study of Income Dynamics, we find-in contrast to the … incomplete markets model and find that advance information reduces households' income forecast errors by 15%. Our estimation …