We study the links between sovereign credit risk and the currency forward bias. In a setting of defaultable sovereign bonds, we show that the forward bias can be linked negatively to sovereign credit risk. We confirm empirically that the forward bias is negatively associated to sovereign CDS...

We study the links between sovereign credit risk and the currency forward bias. In a setting of defaultable sovereign bonds, we show that the forward bias can be negatively linked to sovereign credit risk. We confirm empirically that the forward bias is negatively associated to sovereign CDS...