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Based on a reduced-form model of credit risk, we explore mispricing in the CDS spreads of North American companies and its economic content. Specifically, we develop a trading strategy using the model to trade out of sample market-neutral portfolios across the term structure of CDS contracts....
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We show that the cross-autocorrelation also exists in the global CDS markets and develop an econometric model to capture the global correlation structure. We study implications on the credit risk transmission and contagion risk. We find four main results: (i) credit risk transmission is through...
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We study how macroeconomic uncertainty (EU) manifests into the cross-sectional variations of the credit default swap (CDS)-bond bases. We develop a structural model in which common EU induces informational friction affecting the pricing in the bond and CDS markets. Higher EU will lead to a...
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We examine the effect of voluntary climate risk disclosure on Credit Default Swap (CDS) premiums. We develop a structural credit risk model, in which climate-related disclosures serve as an information source reducing uncertainty about climate risks. The model predicts a negative relation...
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