We propose a novel method of estimating default probabilities using equity option data. The resulting default probabilities are highly correlated with estimates of default probabilities extracted from CDS spreads, which assume constant recovery rates. Additionally, the option implied default...

This paper studies the effects of default risk on equity option returns. We show that there is a cross-sectional and a time-series relation between default risk and option returns. In the cross-section, expected delta-hedged equity option returns have a negative relation with default risk...

This paper presents a joint analysis of the term structure of credit default swap (CDS) spreads and the implied volatility surface. The rapid development of the CDS market has provided convenient products to extract credit risk, and its interaction with equity volatility has been analyzed in...

There is a close link between prices of equity options and the probability of default of a firm. We show that in the presence of positive expected equity recovery, the standard methods that assume zero equity recovery at default misestimate the probability of default implicit in option prices....

Modeling the portfolio credit risk is one of the crucial issues of the last yearsin the financial problems. We propose the valuation model of Collateralized DebtObligations based on a one- and two-parameter copula and default intensities estimatedfrom market data. The presented method is used to...

In this article we address risk characteristics and rating of Collateralized Commodity Obligations (CCO), which are recently devised structured products similar to the Collateralized Debt Obligation (CDO). Commodities as an asset class have been in the spotlight of investors' attention for the...

Credit Risk Management has always been the key concern in financing with the commercial banks. Asset quality has to be kept in mind while bearing the various types of risks. Management of the assets bears a significant impact on liquidity vs. risk management. Post global financial crisis, Indian...

This paper studies the relationship between credit default swap spreads (CDS) for the Energy sector and oil futures dynamics. Using data on light sweet crude oil futures from 2004 to 2013, which contains a crisis period, we examine the importance of volatility and jumps extracted from the...

A common feature of financial time series is their strong persistence. Yet, long memory may just be the spurious effect of either structural breaks or slow switching regimes. So far, five testing procedures have been proposed to distinguish between true and spurious long memory. The tests are...

Modeling the portfolio credit risk is one of the crucial issues of the last years in the financial problems. We propose the valuation model of Collateralized Debt Obligations based on a one- and two-parameter copula and default intensities estimated from market data. The presented method is used...