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distributions of both risk factors are thin-tailed,the credit loss distribution may have a finite tail index (polynomial tails … loss. This unconventionalbehaviour of the credit loss density has not been reported earlier in theliterature. We also … derive analytically the interaction between portfolioquality and credit loss tail behavior and find a striking difference …
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We apply Bayesian Model Averaging and a frequentistic model space analysis to assess the pricing-determinants of credit default swaps (CDS). Our study focuses on the complete model space of plausible models covering most of the variables and specifications used elsewhere in the literature,...
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In order to address the risk of systemic crises it is of paramount importance to have advance information about banks' exposures to large (negative) shocks. In this paper we develop a simple method for quantifying such exposures in a forward-looking manner. The method is based on estimating...
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the case of large, overlapping credit portfolios. We analytically calculate the multivariate joint loss distribution of … to protect the more senior tranches from high losses. We analytically corroborate the observation that an extreme loss of … the subordinated creditor is likely to also yield a large loss of the senior creditor …
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