The importance of sovereign bond as a source of financing revenue deficit, benchmarking for corporate bonds and debt management in Africa, calls for continual monitoring of its volatility dynamics. This study evaluates the nature of sovereign bond volatility interaction between African countries...

We study the nature of systemic sovereign credit risk using CDS spreads for the U.S. Treasury, individual U.S. states, and major European countries. Using a multifactor affine framework that allows for both systemic and sovereign-specific credit shocks, we find that there is considerable...

This paper provides a simple model of the rescheduling of debt following a sovereign default as a bond exchange.

I analyze how lack of commitment affects the maturity structure of sovereign debt. Governments balance benefits of default induced redistribution and costs due to income losses in the wake of a default. Their choice of short- versus long-term debt affects default and rollover decisions by...

I analyze how lack of commitment affects the maturity structure of sovereign debt. Governments balance benefits of default induced redistribution and costs due to income losses in the wake of a default. Their choice of short- versus long- term debt affects default and rollover decisions by...

We develop a sovereign debt model with offcial and private creditors where default risk depends on both the level and the composition of liabilities. Higher exposure to offcial lenders improves incentives to repay but carries extra costs, such as reduced ex-post flexibility. The model implies...

We shed light on the function, properties and optimal size of austerity using the standard sovereign debt model augmented to include incomplete information about credit risk. Austerity is defined as the shortfall of consumption from the level desired by a country and supported by its repayment...

We quantify the probability that a sovereign defaults on repayment obligations in foreign currency. Adopting the structural approach as first introduced by Merton, we consider the sovereigns ability-to-pay, characterised by the sum of discounted future payment surpluses, as the underlying...

Die Target-Forderungen der Deutschen Bundesbank entstanden durch die Regeln des Eurosystems und der dadurch erzwungenen Kreditvergabe der deutschen an die übrigen europäischen Zentralbanken. Es gilt heute als unstrittig, dass diese Forderungen im Risiko stehen, sollten Target-Schuldner aus dem...

Nicole Storp und Tobias Kordsmeyer, Universität Göttingen, beschäftigen sich mit der dynamischen Entwicklung von Target-Salden der Deutschen Bundesbank. Im Zeitraum vom 1. Januar 1999 bis 31. Dezember 2018 stellen die Autoren drei starke Anstiege in den Target-Forderungen der Deutschen...