This paper can be divided in two sections. First, based on the price model in “Noise trader risk in financial market” by J. Bradford Delong et al. (1987), we analyze the implications to Value at Risk and probability of default in option-theoretic model. We find that bubbles are ill-impounded...

Default correlation is a critical concept in risk management for fixed income investment, bank management, and insurance industry, working capital management, among many. We extend the Leland-Toft term structure model into a two-firm environment and predict the default correlation between two...

This paper traces the roots of collateral flow and its potential vulnerabilities in the shadow banking system to their regulatory capital treatment in the banking sector. As part of assessing the interaction of banking regulation and the shadow banking sector, it investigates the impact of bank...

The Global Financial Crisis had a severe impact on the commodity markets on top of the well-known effects on the worldwide economy. Not only the demand for commodities decreased severely thereby hurting the creditworthiness of participants in the wholesale commodity markets, but also the...

We estimate a Pareto distribution for loan losses, as an alternative to the commonly used Vasicek distribution, using simulated data. A key assumption in the construction of Vasicek distribution is that firm-level risk is idiosyncratic. It also assumes that firm exposure to systemic risk is...

This paper studies a novel type of misallocation of credit between investments of varying liquidity. One type of investment is more liquid, i.e., its return is more pledgeable, and the other is more productive. Low liquidities of both investment types imply that the allocation of credit is...

This study explores the impact of credit risk on the performance of UOB Bank of Singapore. The data for this study comes from the annual reports of the bank for five years. This study purpose is to analyse the impact of credit risk of UOB Bank of Singapore towards its financial performance. The...

During 2008, the sudden widening of credit spreads led to a rapid decrease in the value of many financial assets, revealing a general shortage of capital for many financial institutions, with some critical peaks that required fund injection and public bailouts.The evidence of a substantial...

If the creditworthiness of a counterparty is a derivative of a commodity price, there is the potential to have right- or wrong-way exposures in respective commodity transaction. Identifying them is important, because otherwise credit costs might be inadequately calculated and wrong incentives...