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they do, or at least that defaults and credit spreads tend to co-move with macro-economic variables. If true, this is …
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they do, or at least that defaults and credit spreads tend to co-move with macro-economic variables. If true, this is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324897
Recent models for credit risk management make use of Hidden Markov Models (HMMs). The HMMs are used to forecast quantiles of corporate default rates. Little research has been done on the quality of such forecasts if the underlying HMM is potentially mis-specified. In this paper, we focus on...
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We extend the Hidden Markov Model for defaults of Crowder, Davis, and Giampieri (2005) to include covariates. The …
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