Recent literature deals with bounds on the Value-at-Risk (VaR) of risky portfolios when only the marginal distributions of the components are known. In this paper we study Value-at-Risk bounds when the variance of the portfolio sum is also known, a situation that is of considerable interest in...

Данная часть завершает серию консультационных публикаций Деана Фантаццини на тему «Эконометрический анализ финансовых данных в задачах управления риском». В...

This paper poses a new methodology to estimate the required economic capital for a retail-credit portfolio. The methodology is based on both the general copula concepts and some core results from the extreme value theory (EVT). The main results support the fact that the proposed methodology is...

In the present paper we fill an essential gap in the Convertible Bonds pricing world by deriving a Binary Tree based model for valuation subject to credit risk. This model belongs to the framework known as Equity to Credit Risk. We show that this model converges in continuous time to the model...

Aim of this research paper it to develop an alternative model for portfolio credit risk to those widely used - CreditRisk+ and CreditMetrics. The model aspires to patch the usual weak points of portfolio credit models and also is easy to implement. General engine relies on one-factor copula...

In this paper we consider a parametric Weibull mixture cure model for modeling time to default on a personal loan portfolio in presence of disproportionate hazard rate. The main contribution of this paper is to evidence that mixture cure models are appropriate for non proportional sceneries,...

In this paper we give a resume of the correlation concept that underlies the models for credit risk measurement, for the rating of structured products, for the pricing of (tranches of) structured products, and for Basel II capital charges. We discuss how securitization has changed the risk...

We describe a model that takes into account the tail dependence present in a large set of historical risk factor data using the modern concept of copulas. We extend the popular t-copula to obtain a new grouped t-copula which describes more accurately the dependence among risk factors of...