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This paper aims to present one possible retail estimation framework of lifetime probability of default in accordance with IFRS 9. The framework rests on "term structure of probability of default" conditional to given forward-looking macroeconomic dynamics. Due to the one of the biggest...
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This paper analyzes the relationship between banks’ divergent strategies toward specialization and diversification of … financial activities and their ability to withstand a banking sector crash. We first generate market-based measures of banks … probability of a sharp decline in a bank’s stock price conditional on a crash in a banking index. Subsequently, the impact of (the …
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