We provide the first empirical analysis on the effects of credit default swaps (CDS) on corporate distress resolution with a focus on debt recovery rate. CDS contracts are settled shortly after the occurrence of credit events such as restructuring or bankruptcy filings and, presumably, should...

This paper evaluates the model risk of models used for forecasting systemic and market risk. Model risk, which is the potential for different models to provide inconsistent outcomes, is shown to be increasing with market uncertainty. During calm periods, the underlying risk forecast models...

This paper provides practical insights into common statistical measures used to validate a model's discriminatory power for the probability of default (PD), loss liven default (LGD) and exposure at default (EAD). The study has more of an informative value without delivering empirical evidence....

This study assesses the credit risk of Japan's real estate investment trusts (J-REITs) in two related markets during the fiscal years 2008--2017. The first J-REIT market involves blockholders, while the second is a lending market of institutions (i.e., banks and insurers). Unlike investment...

We develop a theoretical model quantifying how firm-level pandemic exposure and sentiment, as informational shocks, affect a firm’s credit spread and default risk. Consistent with model predictions, we find significantly positive impacts on single-name credit default swap (CDS) spreads from...

Data breaches may affect firms' future performance, financial stability, and risk profiles, thus potentially resulting in increased credit risk. Using firm-level credit ratings and credit default swap (CDS) spreads to proxy for credit risk, we find that data breaches lead to increases in firm...

Climate risk brings about a new type of financial risk that standard approaches to risk management are not adequate to handle. Amidst the growing concern about climate change, financial supervisors and risk managers are concerned with the risk of a disorderly low-carbon transition. We develop a...

The paper aims to examine the new regulatory framework of project finance in the economics of banking firms. In particular, the paper investigates the uniqueness of the project finance, the significant importance of the project finance in bank activity, and the role of the new bank capital...

In this paper we address the issue of counterparty credit risk in Exchange Traded Notes (ETNs). An ETN is a tracking product which is designed as an unsecured debt security. As such, it is subject to the issuers default risk. We describe a standard reduced-form pricing framework to gauge the...

This study assesses the credit rating migration risk and interconnectedness among bank-to-listed firms and insurer-to-listed firms in Japan's corporate lending market during the fiscal years 2008-2015. The study uses outstanding lending data with borrowers and lenders names to conduct a...