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In this paper we present a tree model for defaultable bond prices which can be used for the pricing of credit derivatives. The model is based upon the two-factor Hull-White (1994) model for default-free interest rates, where one of the factors is taken to be the credit spread of the defaultable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011538904
Default probability is a fundamental variable determining the credit worthiness of a firm and equity volatility … choosing different non parametric equity volatility estimators on default probability evaluation, when market microstructure … noise is considered. A general stochastic volatility framework with jumps for the underlying asset dynamics is defined …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506497
Lack of shareholders' commitment about debt and investment policies increases the cost of debt by a quantity that we refer to as the agency (credit) spread. The agency spread increases with the number of periods for which debt holders are exposed to policies that decrease the value of debt: from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905079
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009779780
Are yields of long-maturity bonds distorted by demand pressure of clientele investors, regulatory effects, or default, flight-to-safety or liquidity premiums? Using data on German nominal bonds between 2005 and 2015, we study the differential pricing and liquidity of short and long maturity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011940016
contingent lease. Risk-neutral pricing theory and the backward induction method are used to determine the pricing of corporate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013413113
We consider a stochastic volatility model of the mean-reverting type to describe the evolution of a firm's values … default probability. Our simulation results indicate that the stochastic volatility model tends to predict higher default … probabilities than the corresponding Merton model if a firm's credit quality is not too low. Otherwise the stochastic volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138808
During the global financial crisis, stressed market conditions led to skyrocketing corporate bond spreads that could not be explained by conventional modeling approaches. This paper builds on this observation and sheds light on time-variations in the relationship between systematic risk factors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011855295
The credit valuation adjustment (CVA) of OTC derivatives is an important part of the Basel III credit risk capital requirements and current accounting rules. Its calculation is not an easy task - not only it is necessary to model the future value of the derivative, but also the probability of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010358352
This article studies the economic factors behind corporate default risk premia in Europe during the period 2006–2010. We employ information embedded in Credit Default Swap (CDS) contracts to quantify expected excess returns from the underlying bonds in market-wide default circumstances. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012976109