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Real-time representations of the output gap

Garratt, Anthony; Lee, Kevin C.; Mise, Emi; Shields, … - In: The review of economics and statistics 90 (2008) 4, pp. 792-804

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003772096

Decision-making in hard times : what is a recession, why do we care and how do we know when we are in one?

Lee, Kevin C.; Shields, Kalvinder K. - In: The North American journal of economics and finance : a … 22 (2011) 1, pp. 43-60

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009266785

Australian real-time database : an overview and an illustration of its use in business cycle analysis

Lee, Kevin C.; Olekalns, Nilss; Shields, Kalvinder K.; … - In: The economic record : er 88 (2012), pp. 495-516

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009690049

The Australian real-time database : an overview and an illustration of its use in business cycle analysis

Lee, Kevin C.; Oleklans, Nilss; Shields, Kalvinder K.; … - 2011

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009409813

Information, business survey forecasts and measurement of output trends in six European economies

Lee, Kevin C.; Shields, Kalvinder K. - 1999

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001458378

Forecasting global recessions in a GVAR model of actual and expected output

Garratt, Anthony; Lee, Kevin C.; Shields, Kalvinder K. - In: International journal of forecasting 32 (2016) 2, pp. 374-390

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011597120

On suboptimality of the Hodrick-Prescott filter at time series endpoints

Mise, Emi; Kim, Tae-hwan; Newbold, Paul - In: Journal of macroeconomics 27 (2005) 1, pp. 53-67

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002647963

Forecast uncertainties in macroeconomic modeling : an application to the UK economy

Garratt, Anthony; Lee, Kevin C.; Pesaran, M. Hashem; … - In: Journal of the American Statistical Association : JASA 98 (2003) 464, pp. 829-838

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001971275

Forecast uncertainties in macroeconometric modelling : an application to the UK economy

Garratt, Anthony; Lee, Kevin C.; Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2000

This paper argues that probability forecasts convey information on the uncertainties that surround macroeconomic forecasts in a manner which is straightforward and which is preferable to other alternatives, including the use of confidence intervals. Probability forecasts relating to UK output...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001539419