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Economic forecasting in a pandemic : some evidence from Singapore
Chow, Hwee-kwan; Choy, Keen-Meng - In: Empirical economics : a quarterly journal of the … 64 (2023) 5, pp. 2105-2124
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014253780
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The role of stickiness, extrapolation and past consensus forecasts in macroeconomic expectations
Hagenhoff, Tim; Lustenhouwer, Joep - In: Journal of economic dynamics & control 149 (2023), pp. 1-21
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014285102
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A daily fever curve for the Swiss economy
Burri, Marc; Kaufmann, Daniel - 2020
Because macroeconomic data is published with a substantial delay, assessing the health of the economy during the rapidly evolving Covid-19 crisis is challenging. We develop a fever curve for the Swiss economy using publicly available daily financial market and news data. The indicator can be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012609073
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Forecasting the unemployment rate using the degree of agreement in consumer unemployment expectations
Claveria, Oscar - In: Journal for Labour Market Research 53 (2019) 3, pp. 1-10
This study aims to refine unemployment forecasts by incorporating the degree of consensus in consumers' expectations … as benchmark. Finally, we replicate the forecasting experiment including as predictors both an indicator of unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012208423
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A boosting approach to forecasting gold and silver returns : economic and statistical forecast evaluation
Pierdzioch, Christian; Risse, Marian; Rohloff, Sebastian - In: Applied economics letters 23 (2016) 4/6, pp. 347-352
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011430599
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Yield curve and recession forecasting in a Machine Learning framework
Gkonkas, Periklēs; Papadimitriou, Theophilos; … - In: Computational economics 45 (2015) 4, pp. 635-645
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011440977
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Zero lower bound, unconventional monetary policy and indicator properties of interest rate spreads
Hännikäinen, Jari - In: Review of financial economics : RFE 26 (2015), pp. 47-54
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011411962
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Market-timing the business cycle
Peláez, Rolando F. - In: Review of financial economics : RFE 26 (2015), pp. 55-64
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011411968
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The mortgage spread as a predictor of real-time economic activity
Hännikäinen, Jari - In: Applied economics letters 23 (2016) 1/3, pp. 112-116
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011414443
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Distilling the macroeconomic news flow
Beber, Alessandro; Brandt, Michael W.; Luisi, Maurizio - In: Journal of financial economics 117 (2015) 3, pp. 489-507
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011480308