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Predictive ability of business cycle indicators under test : a case study for the Euro Area industrial production
Carstensen, Kai; Wohlrabe, Klaus; Ziegler, Christina … - 2010
to forecasting area-wide industrial production. To this end, we use various tests that are designed to compare competing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003952110
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Exploiting the monthly data flow in structural forecasting
Giannone, Domenico; Monti, Francesca; Reichlin, Lucrezia - 2015
predictive accuracy in now-casting and forecasting. Our empirical results show that both the monthly version of the DSGE and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011399325
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A new index of financial conditions
Koop, Gary; Korobilis, Dimitris - In: European economic review : EER 71 (2014), pp. 101-116
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010512275
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Bayesian averaging vs. dynamic factor models for forecasting economic aggregates with tendency survey data
Bialowolski, Piotr; Kuszewski, Tomasz; Witkowski, Bartosz - 2015
The main goal of the article is to investigate forecasting quality of two approaches to modelling main macroeconomic … accuracy not inferior to that of structural models. Additional advantage of their approach is that the forecasting procedure … can be mostly automated and the influence of subjective decisions made in the forecasting process can be significantly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010512536
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Corporate yield curves as predictors of future economic and financial indicators
Saar, Dan; Yagil, Yossi - In: Applied economics 47 (2015) 19/21, pp. 1997-2011
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010513396
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An evaluation of business survey indices for short-term forecasting : balance method versus Carlson-Parkin method
Vermeulen, Philip - In: International journal of forecasting 30 (2014) 4, pp. 882-897
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010517780
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A boosting approach to forecasting gold and silver returns : economic and statistical forecast evaluation
Pierdzioch, Christian; Risse, Marian; Rohloff, Sebastian - In: Applied economics letters 23 (2016) 4/6, pp. 347-352
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011430599
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Real-time macroeconomic data and uncertainty
Glass, Katharina; Fritsche, Ulrich - 2015 - 2nd updated version
Most macroeconomic data is continuously revised as additional information becomes available. We suggest that revisions of data is an increasingly important source of uncertainty about the state of the economy and offer an alternative channel of uncertainty - data uncertainty. This paper adds on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011298898
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Estimating and forecasting Bahrain quarterly GDP growth using simple regression and factor-based methods
Naser, Hanan - In: Empirical economics : a journal of the Institute for … 49 (2015) 2, pp. 449-479
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011332866
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Forecasting US recessions with macro factors
Fossati, Sebastian - In: Applied economics 47 (2015) 52/54, pp. 5726-5738
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011348871