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We provide an axiomatic approach to a belief formation process in an informational environment characterized by limited, heterogenous and differently precise information. For a list of previously observed cases an agent needs to express her belief by assigning probabilities to possible outcomes....
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investigate how informational ambiguity in conjunction with waves of optimism and pessimism affect investor behavior, social … learning and price dynamics. Without ambiguity, neither herding nor contrarianism is possible. If there is ambiguity and agents … have invariant ambiguity preferences, only contrarianism is possible. If on the other hand ambiguity is high and traders …
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decisions on risk assessment and risk management under conditions of ambiguity, i.e. where probabilities cannot be assigned to … underpins conventional cost-benet analysis (CBA). The other requires that an ambiguity-averse decision-rule - of which maxmin …
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