How well do various learning models predict the dynamics of the population distribution of play in a variety of games? We measure and compare the in-sample and out-of-sample prediction performance of seven action-reinforcement learning models as well as Rule Learning for symmetric normal-form...

We test the population rule learning model for symmetric normal-form games, and strongly reject: (i) no rule learning, (ii) no diversity, and (iii) no sophisticated evidence. Further, trembles and herd behavior decline and level-2 behavior increases over time