Showing 1 - 10 of 5,674
with experience. We then reject increasing confidence in private information or learning about the structure of the … data. The motivation for signalling is consistent with wanting to control inflation expectations, but not career concerns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091148
-motivated reputation building may be important for explaining dynamics in experts' policy choices. -- signalling ; learning ; monetary … with experience. We then reject increasing confidence in private information or learning about the structure of the … data. The motivation for signalling is consistent with wanting to control inflation expectations, but not career concerns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009518217
New Keynesian theory identifies a set of principles central to the design and implementation of monetary policy. These principles rely on the ability of a central bank to manage expectations precisely, with policy prescriptions typically derived under the assumption of perfect information and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011496866
How should an agent (the sender) observing multi-dimensional data (the state vector) persuade another agent to take the desired action? We show that it is always optimal for the sender to perform a (non-linear) dimension reduction by projecting the state vector onto a lower-dimensional object...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012799529
We develop a theoretical framework for studying the effects of interaction on the quaJity of decision-making by monetary policy committees. We show that interaction, i.e. increasing one's expertise through an exchange of views, is most likely not to result in interdependent voting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011334835
reunification. A policy that separates learning from control may induce a persistent upward bias in money growth and inflation, just … as observed after unification. In contrast, the optimal learning strategy which exploits the tradeoff between control and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010466014
Survey data on inflation expectations show that: (i) private sector forecasts and central bank forecasts are not fully aligned and (ii) private sector forecasters disagree about inflation expectations. To reconcile these two facts we introduce dispersed information in a New Keynesian model,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011520661
Experience-Based Learning (EBL) that renders expectations heterogeneous across age groups. Under EBL, the age …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013330596
effect of surprise inflation on aggregate demand. We derive the optimal policy under active learning and compare it to two … limiting cases-certainty equivalence policy and cautionary policy, in which learning takes place passively. Our novel result is … that the two passive learning policies represent an upper and lower bound for the active learning policy, irrespective of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263516
under private agent learning can in some cases be stable when the observed sunspot has a suitable time series structure. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298274