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Many governments have engaged in policy experimentation in various forms to resolve uncertainty and facilitate learning. However, little is understood about the characteristics of policy experimentation, and how the structure of experimentation may affect policy learning and policy outcomes. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013322750
Based on contribution patterns to parties in Germany and elsewhere, we suggest that European democracies should use a mixed system where private funding can play a larger role than public funding. In Germany the high level of public funding for parties can be reduced without expecting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013320334
We consider a median voter model with uncertainty about how the economy functions. The distribution of income is exogenously given and the provision of a public good is financed through a proportional tax. Voters and politicians do not know the true production function for the public good, but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011416913
We consider a two period model in which an incumbent political party chooses the level of a current policy variable unilaterally, but faces competition from a political opponent in the future. Both parties care about voters payoffs, but they have different beliefs about how policy choices will...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010366185
Self-interested agents produce information in an attempt to convince a principal to act on their behalf. Agents provide less informative evidence than the principal prefers since doing so maximizes the probability the principal acts in their favor. If the principal faces constraints that limit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081078
We consider an economy where decision maker(s) do not know the true production function for a public good. By using Bayes rule they can learn from experience. We show that the economy may learn the truth, but that it may also converge to an inefficient policy where no further inference is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012724348
People are exposed to a constant flow of information about economic, social and political phenomena; nevertheless, misinformation is ubiquitous in the society. This paper studies the spread of misinformation in a social environment where agents receive new information each period and update their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012890347
When it comes to economic reforms in developing countries, many economists agree on broad objectives (such as fostering outward orientation). Broad objectives, however, can be pursued in many different ways, and policy experimentation is often indispensable for learning which alternative works...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058085
At an exogenous deadline, Receiver must take an action, the payoff of which depends on Sender's private binary type. Sender privately observes whether and when an opportunity to start a public flow of information about her type arrives. She then chooses when to seize this opportunity. Starting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018732
A Bayesian agent evaluates a stream of information over a finite period before deciding on which of two alternatives to adopt. At any point, the agent is free to convert information into an informative, binary signal. When information arrives at a roughly constant rate, an agent who frequently...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012989419