We examine the effects of estimation risk and Bayesian learning on equilibrium asset prices when there is uncertainty about both the first and second moments of consumption and dividend growth rates. For the 1891-2007 period, our model generates a sizable average annual equity premium,...

We examine the effects of parameter uncertainty and Bayesian learning on equilibrium asset prices when all the structural parameters of the aggregate consumption and dividend growth rate processes are unknown. With realistic calibration of a parsimonious set of prior parameters, the model...

Agents are generally uncertain about multiple, and possibly time-varying, structural parameters that drive consumption and financial payoffs but learn through noisy correlated signals, such as aggregate or macroeconomic news. We find that dynamic learning of multivariate time-varying parameters...