Information asymmetry and liquidity concentration has been widely discussed in literatures. This study shows how liquidity influences not only forecasting performances of term structure estimation, but also information transmission and price adjustment across markets. Our analysis helps...

Central banks repo market operations and liquidity infusions occasion a structural liquidity mismatch in bank balance sheets and increase the dependence on central bank liquidity. This paper argues for what I term “Circular Monetary Economics”, an approach to monetary policy that seeks to...

This paper examines the effectiveness of several of the Fed's unconventional monetary policies from 2007 to 2010 by comparing interest rate spreads with forecast estimates based on either the pure expectations hypothesis or the preferred habitat theory. We find that the effectiveness of these...

We investigate the relationship between bank liquidity creation and recessions in the U.S. For the 1984-2010 sample, we find that (i) lower bank on-balance sheet liquidity creation signals recessions four quarters into the future; (ii) off-balance sheet liquidity creation is not a robust...

Consistent with the credit channel theory of monetary policy transmission, this paper finds novel evidence that asset market liquidity as one of the proxies for the external finance premium explains bank liquidity creation. While efficacy of monetary policy depends on how banks create liquidity,...

This paper investigates the transmission of funding liquidity shocks, credit risk shocks and unconventional monetary policy within the Euro area. To this aim, a financial GVAR model is estimated for Germany, France, Italy and Spain on monthly data over the period 2006-2017. The interactions...

To study inflation expectations and associated risk premia in emerging bond markets, this paper provides estimates for Mexico based on an arbitrage-free dynamic term structure model of nominal and real bond prices that accounts for their liquidity risk. In addition to documenting the existence...

Despite a large and growing theoretical literature on flights to safety, there does not appear to exist an empirical characterization of flight-to-safety (FTS) episodes. Using only data on bond and stock returns, we identify and characterize flight to safety episodes for 23 countries. On...

This paper investigates the peculiar macroeconomic policy challenges faced by emerging economies in today's monetary (non)order and globalized finance. It reviews the evolution of the international monetary and financial architecture against the background of Keynes's original Bretton Woods...

A consistent empirical feature of bond yields is that term premia are, on average, positive. That is, investors in long term bonds receive higher returns than investors in similar (i.e.\ same default risk) shorter maturity bonds over the same holding period. The majority of theoretical...