The existing literature in commercial mortgage defaults focuses on the process for loans in the current status to the default status. This study recognizes that commercial mortgage default is not a one-step process and examines a previously unexplored aspect in the whole default process, that is...

This paper investigates the impact of spatially correlated unobservable variables on the refinancing, selling, and default decisions of mortgage borrowers. Virtually the entire mortgage literature acknowledges that borrower specific characteristics, such as culture, education, or access to...

This study analyzes the impact of contemporaneous loan stress on the termination of loans in the commercial mortgage-backed securities pool using a novel measure, based on changes in net operating incomes and property values at the MSA-property type-year level. Employing a semi-parametric...

This paper extends unobserved heterogeneity to the multinomial logit model (MNL) framework in the context of mortgages terminated by refinance, move, or default. It tests for the importance of unobserved heterogeneity when borrower characteristics such as income, age and credit score are...

While prior analyses have provided substantial evidence of elevated default probabilities among mortgages originated to lower income, less credit worthy and minority borrowers, those risks may be offset by the reduced prepayment probabilities of those loans. To the investor in FHA-insured...

Property market dynamics depend on changes in long run equilibrium and on impediments to adjustment towards equilibrium. One of the most important aspects of property market dynamics is often attributed to the activities in the mortgage market. However, many impediment factors, such as changes...

"The variation in default rates by region is quite substantial. Default rates in theNorthcentral states were about ve times as large as default rates in the Southeasternstates. These dierences reflect the credit rate risk associated with the real estatemarkets in each of the regions, the...