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Voluntary and government-mandated lockdowns in response to COVID-19 have caused causing drastic reductions in economic activity around the world. We present a parsimonious two-country-SIR model with some degree of substitutability between home and foreign goods, and show that trading partners'...
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We propose a flexible model of infectious dynamics with a single endogenous state variable and economic choices. We characterize equilibrium, optimal outcomes, static and dynamic externalities, and prove the following: (i) A lockdown generically is followed by policies to stimulate activity....
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This paper employs the most recent Input Output tables to discuss the Italian lockdown after the COVID-19 epidemics. We define "basic activities" and derive a ranking of industries which more intensively contribute to them. Confronting our results with the choices of the Italian government, we...
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We study the problem of a policymaker who aims at taming the spread of an epidemic while minimizing its associated … characterized by three distinct periods: the epidemic is first let freely evolve, then vigorously tamed, and finally a less …
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We embed a lockdown choice in a simplified epidemiological model and derive formulas for the optimal lockdown intensity and duration. The optimal policy reflects the rate of time preference, epidemiological factors, the hazard rate of vaccine discovery, learning effects in the health care...
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