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relation between their current wages and their past wages, adjusted for inflation. We call this the post-crisis Phillips Curve …In this paper we test a new empirical relationship between wage and inflation. We introduce the concept of a cumulative …. The shape of the post-crisis Phillips Curve expresses the theoretical assumption that the inflation rate stays below its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012162969
Central bankers are raising interest rates on the assumption that wage-push inflation may lead to stagflation. This is … to maintain their real wages by reducing labor demand still further. Furthermore, we argue inflationary pressures have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013448558
conclusion is to make wages and the nominal exchange rate anchors for the price level, which implies that nominal wages should … increase according to trends in productivity and the target inflation rate of the central bank. Wage developments without …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014582674
A model of nominal labor-price dynamics is derived from the choice of an efficient strategy to adjust wages for … inflation. The model, named the rational-arrangements Phillips curve, identifies a central role for catch-up to price inflation … that has already occurred and a more latent role for rational expectations of future inflation. The reinterpreted Phillips …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012728533
increases in China for global inflation pressures are also discussed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013064190
system. Real wages and wage inflation emerge as especially persistent following an import price shock, while price inflation …This paper investigates the persistence of aggregate wages and prices in Portugal assuming a model of a unionized … wages is attributable mainly to unemployment shocks (about 80 percent), whereas variation in the forecast errors of prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012766215
increases in China for global inflation pressures are also discussed. Keywords: labour costs, inflation, China, global economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012985014
increases in China for global inflation pressures are also discussed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060216
Two extraordinary U.S. labor market developments facilitated the sharp disinflation in 2022-23 without raising the unemployment rate. First, pandemic-driven infection worries and social distancing intentions caused a sizable drag on labor force participation that began to reverse in the first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576613
We show that a "competing claims" model of imperfect competition can explain the movements of wages and prices in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014184334