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volatility. Design/methodology/approach – The paper proposes volatility forecasts based on a combination of the GARCH(1,1)-model … past volatility shocks. As the square-root-of-time rule is known to be mis-specified, the GARCH setting of Drost and Nijman …
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It seems reasonable to expect financial market efficiency to be related to the economic development level. We study a 16year sample, covering 22 countries. The Hurst–Mandelbrot–Wallis rescaled range is our efficiency measure, which we apply to returns and volatility. We find strong evidence...
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This research aims to improve the efficiency in estimating the Hurst exponent in financial time series. A new procedure is developed based on equality in distribution and is applicable to the estimation methods of the Hurst exponent. We show how to use this new procedure with three of the most...
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