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This paper examines several US monthly financial time series using fractional integration and cointegration techniques. The univariate analysis based on fractional integration aims to determine whether the series are I(1) (in which case markets might be efficient) or alternatively I(d) with <InlineEquation ID="IEq1"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">$$d...</equationsource></inlineequation>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011151318
This paper considers a simple Continuous Beliefs System (CBS) toinvestigate the effects on price dynamics of several behavioralassumptions: (i) herd behaviour; (ii) a-synchronous updating ofbeliefs; and (iii) heterogeneity in time horizons (memory) amongagents. The recently introduced concept of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256802
A major issue in financial economics is the behavior of asset returns over long horizons. Various estimators of long range dependence have been proposed. Even though some have known asymptotic properties, it is important to test their accuracy by using simulated series of different lengths. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009003603
In the literature many papers state that long-memory time series models such as Fractional Gaussian Noises (FGN) or Fractionally Integrated series (FI(d)) are empirically indistinguishable from models with a non-stationary mean, but which are mean reverting. We present an analysis of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010870074
Non-extensive thermodynamics is one of the most intriguing physics new frontiers. A large number of researchers have been successfully finding connections between the new concepts introduced by this new field and other complex systems already presented. In particular, Borland [Phys. Rev. E 57...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010871698
Foreign currency exchange rate policies of ASEAN member countries have undergone tremendous changes following the 1997 Asian financial crisis. In this paper, we study the fractal and long-memory characteristics in the volatility of five ASEAN founding members’ exchange rates with respect to US...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010872092
In this paper we investigate the asymptotics of the statistical estimates of the optimal value and the optimal solution in stochastic programming problems, which has long range dependent samples. The asymptotic distribution and the convergence rate of these estimates are studied. Copyright...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010847531
The contributions of this short paper are two-fold. We shall show two interesting properties of fractional Gaussian noise (fGn), namely, its bandlimitedness and lag-limitedness. The computation formulas for the maximum frequency of bandlimited fGn and the maximum lag of lag-limited fGn are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010742323
Band spectrum regression is considered for cointegrated time series with long memory innovations. The estimates we advocate are shown to be consistent when cointegrating relationships among stationary variables are investigated, while OLS are inconsistent due to correlation between the regressor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010745814
Purpose – The main purpose of this paper is to examine the asymmetry and long memory properties in the volatility of the stock indices of the PIIGS economies (Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain). Design/methodology/approach – The paper utilizes the wavelets approach (based on Haar,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010814981