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computationally simple and can be easily implemented as a nowcasting tool. Finally, this method also allows retracing the driving …
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The substantial variation in the real price of oil since 2003 has renewed interest in the question of how to forecast monthly and quarterly oil prices. There also has been increased interest in the link between financial markets and oil markets, including the question of whether financial market...
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. Our empirical findings show that the factor estimation methods don't differ much with respect to nowcasting accuracy …
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paper, we compare their performance in a relevant case for policy making, i.e., nowcasting and forecasting quarterly GDP …
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forecasting macroeconomic key variables such as GDP. However, the DFM has some weaknesses. For nowcasting, the dynamic factor …
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