Using density forecasts, we compare the predictive performance of dur ation models that have been developed fo modelling intra-day data on stock markets. Our model portfolio encompasses the auto regressive conditional duration (ACD) model, its logarithmic version (Log-ACD), the threshold...

Results for the identification of non-linear models are used to support the raditional form of he order condition by sufficient conditions. The sufficient conditions reveal a two step procedure for firstly checking generic identification and then testing identifiability. This approach canbe...

This paper explains how the Gibbs sampler can be used to perform Bayesian inference on GARCH models. Although the Gibbs sampler is usually based on the analytical knowledge of the full conditional posterior densities, such knowledge is not available in regression models with GARCH errors. We...

In the empirical analysis of financial time series, multivariate GARCH models have been used in various forms. In most cases it is not well understood how the use of a restricted model has to be paid with loss of valuable information. We investigate the structural implications of two alternative...

We propose a structural econometric evaluation for auctions with discrete increments. Although very common in practice, this kind of mechanism raises many theoretical difficulties. First, there are no closed form equilibriumstrategies. Thus the econometrician cannot rely on a single formula to...

We study an endogenous business cycle model with Cournotian monopolistic competition and an endogenous number of firms in each sector. Our model is a simple general equilibrium macroeconomic model introducing overlapping generations both of consumers and firms. Firms strategically decide on...

In this paper, we apply a collection of parametric (Normal, Normal GARCH, Student GARCH, RiskMetrics and high-frequency duration models) and non-parametric (empirical quantile, extreme distributions models) Value-at-Risk (VaR) techniques to intraday data for three stocks traded on the New York...

Williamson (1979) claims that in a buyer-seller relationship with observable but unverifiable investments and state of nature, the hold up of future benefits leads to underinvestment. Aghion, Dewatripont and Rey (1994) resolve it provided that the initial contract can specify a default option...

This paper is concerned with the stategic use of a private information on the stock market. A repeated auction model is used to analyze the evolution of the price system on a market with asymmetric information. The model turns out to be a zero-sum repeated game with one-sided information, as...

Using the 1990-1992 wave of the French Labor Force Survey, this paper analyzes the effects of different factors on the probability of leaving unemployment of French young people. It also studies duration dependence of the hazard rate while controlling for unobserved heterogeneity separately for...