Oil market VAR models have become the standard tool for understanding the evolution of the real price of oil and its impact in the macro economy. As this literature has expanded at a rapid pace, it has become increasingly difficult for mainstream economists to understand the differences between...

In December 1997, a number of countries - referred to as the Annex 1 countries - signed the Kyoto Protocol under which they agreed to ceilings on their emissions of greenhouse gases (GHGs). Such unilateral action by a group of countries has often been criticized on the grounds that it could be...

This paper examines the importance of taking into account standard errors when making inferences from econometric models prepared for antidumping, countervailing duty, and safeguard investigations. This is important since even a properly specified econometric model is only as useful as the...

In its document “Basel III: A global regulatory framework for more resilient banks and banking systems”, the Basel Committee set a CVA methodology for the trading book, at a time the determination of the credit spread for those entities interested in advanced models in their risk management...

Representative models of the macroeconomy (RMs), such as DSGE models, frequently contain unobserved variables. A finite-order VAR representation in the observed variables may not exist, and therefore the impulse responses of the RMs and SVAR models may differ. We demonstrate this divergence...