This paper examines the linkage between economic activity and tax revenues for New York State and New York City. Drawing upon the methodology of Stock and Watson, we use a dynamic single-factor model to estimate indexes of coincident economic indicators. We also construct measures of the sales...

Due to the COVID-19 pandemic and its accompanying 'lockdowns', Global economic growth will be nil or negative for some time to come. Due to large scale quarantine measures, economic activity that entails social gatherings or presence of crowds is also no longer possible or encouraged. This paper...