"This paper surveys recent issues in macroeconomics from the viewpoint of dynamic economic theory. The need to look beyond demand and supply curves and the insights that come from doing so are emphasized. Examples of issues in debt management and fiscal policy are analyzed"--Federal Reserve Bank...

Dieses Werk gibt einen präzise formulierten Überblick über die traditionelle (deterministische) Makroökonomie neoklassischer und keynesianischer Provenienz und ist die erste Lehrbuchdarstellung der ";Neuen klassischen Makroökonomik";.

For a VAR with drifting coefficients and stochastic volatilities, the authors present posterior densities for several objects that are of interest for designing and evaluating monetary policy. These include measures of inflation persistence, the natural rate of unemployment, a core rate of...

Recent papers have analyzed how adaptive agents may converge to and escape from self-confirming equilibria. All of these papers have imputed to agents a particular prior about drifting coefficients. In the context of a model of monetary policy, this paper analyzes dynamics that govern both...