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estimated for G7 countries applying a Monte Carlo simulation method, in order to find out the predictive ability of the equation …
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is evaluated through various simulation exercises. It generates satisfactory in-sample and out-of-sample predictions for …
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rate, and primary expenditure, showing the expanded model's policy simulation capabilities. The next steps for developing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014476101
The recent boom in house prices in many countries during the Covid-19 pandemic and the possibility of household financial distress are of concern among some central banks. We revisit the empirical modelling of house prices and household debt with a policy-oriented perspective using Norwegian...
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The paper presents the Dutch country block of the ESCB Multi-Country Model (MCM) for the euro area. We show how a theoretical model is translated into an econometric specification and how this specification is in turn estimated and used in the projection exercises of the E(S)CB. The dynamic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604692
The paper presents the German block of the ESCB multi-country model. It builds on previous modelling work on the Area Wide Model and other country blocks of the ESCB multicountry-model. Whilst being analogous to these models in following a common modelling approach and the same theoretical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604700