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This paper proposes a simple and model-consistent method for combining forecasts generated by structural micro-founded models and judgmental forecasts. The method also enables the judgmental forecasts to be interpreted through the lens of the model. We illustrate the proposed methodology with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506673
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003785535
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009757117
This paper proposes a simple and model-consistent method for combining forecasts generated by structural micro-founded models and judgmental forecasts. The method also enables the judgmental forecasts to be interpreted through the lens of the model. We illustrate the proposed methodology with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137664
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305512
This paper proposes a simple and model-consistent method for combining forecasts generated by structural micro-founded models and judgmental forecasts. The method also enables the judgmental forecasts to be interpreted through the lens of the model. We illustrate the proposed methodology with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011599088