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The value of information is examined in a risk-sharing environment with unawareness and complete markets. Information … show with examples that public information can make some agents strictly better off at the expense of others, contrasting … the standard results of Hirshleifer [1971] and Schlee [2001] that the value of public information is negative for all when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014116604
The properties of information, including "information uncertainty", can be understood only Bayesianly. Common … formulations that define information uncertainty in terms of just statistical "precision" (i.e. sampling variance), or any one … estimator characteristic (e.g. bias), are inadequate for generalized Bayesian analysis. Methods that deny information a Bayesian …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019904
We analyze whether the timing of public information releases affects risk-sharing and pricing in a pure exchange … economy. Information releases do not matter if agents have time additive preferences, homogeneous beliefs and access to … complete markets. In the case of heterogeneity in agents' beliefs, we are able to show analytically that early information …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006752
Most macroeconomic data is continuously revised as additional information becomes available. We suggest that revisions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011298898
This paper proves Li (2009) unawareness structure equivalent to the single-agent propositionally generated logic of awareness of Fagin and Halpern (1988). For any model of one type one can construct a model of the other type describing the same belief and awareness. Li starts from an agent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117543
Economic uncertainty has to do with the consequences of actions under different circumstances. This raises two questions: First, how sensitive are the outcomes of actions to variations in the environment? Second, how clearly can we distinguish between environments? Robustness comes at the price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011326624
. We build on this literature by showing that value-relevant information from technology spillovers significantly reduces … findings provide novel evidence that the information externality associated with peer firms' technology activities helps to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012853539
Information gathering is an instinctive response to uncertainty, but such efforts may not fully resolve the uncertainty … that prompted them. This implies that proxies for investor information gathering may endogenously reflect investor … uncertainty, not only before but also after information collection. I find evidence consistent with this pattern using data on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013289336
We examine the impact of economic policy uncertainty on the trading activity of short sellers. We document an increase in shorting flow of overvalued stocks during periods of high policy uncertainty. The results hold after controlling for endogeneity, macroeconomic factors, and different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014239735
Kenneth Arrow and Karl Borch published several important articles in the early 1960s that can be viewed as the beginning of modern economic analysis of insurance activity. This chapter reviews the main theoretical and empirical contributions in insurance economics since that time. The review...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025527