Showing 1 - 10 of 24,579
The properties of information, including "information uncertainty", can be understood only Bayesianly. Common … formulations that define information uncertainty in terms of just statistical "precision" (i.e. sampling variance), or any one … estimator characteristic (e.g. bias), are inadequate for generalized Bayesian analysis. Methods that deny information a Bayesian …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019904
Most macroeconomic data is continuously revised as additional information becomes available. We suggest that revisions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011298898
The value of information is examined in a risk-sharing environment with unawareness and complete markets. Information … show with examples that public information can make some agents strictly better off at the expense of others, contrasting … the standard results of Hirshleifer [1971] and Schlee [2001] that the value of public information is negative for all when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014116604
We analyze whether the timing of public information releases affects risk-sharing and pricing in a pure exchange … economy. Information releases do not matter if agents have time additive preferences, homogeneous beliefs and access to … complete markets. In the case of heterogeneity in agents' beliefs, we are able to show analytically that early information …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006752
Information gathering is an instinctive response to uncertainty, but such efforts may not fully resolve the uncertainty … that prompted them. This implies that proxies for investor information gathering may endogenously reflect investor … uncertainty, not only before but also after information collection. I find evidence consistent with this pattern using data on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013289336
Before information φ arrives, market observers must be uncertain whether the stock price conditioned on φ will be … condition of efficient markets, it is shown under the mean-variance CAPM that information which makes the future value of a firm … general, information that allows better discrimination between firms leads some firms to have higher costs of capital and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035935
An increase in the riskiness of a technology will raise economy-wide expected output: the technology can be used intensively if its productivity realization is large and curtailed otherwise. Some investment in even the riskiest technologies can therefore bring Pareto improvements. The observed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013235191
Modern society mitigates and transfers risks in a variety of ways, which range from catastrophe prevention and insurance solutions through to injustices of a minor and inconspicuous nature. We illustrate that the measures taken depend on the uncertainty about the risks in question, and involve...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013238200
The well known economic advantage of tradable permits over command and control obviously vanishes if firms do not trade because of regulatory uncertainty. In fact, uncertainty about political decision changes in the permits program could make firms reluctant to participate in tradable permits...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014212438
In this paper, we revisit the conventional view on efficient risk sharing that advance information on future shocks is … signals are informative. In this case, we show that better public information can improve the allocation of risk when private …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013296128