This paper aims to investigate whether the effect of inflation expectations, exchange rate, money supply, industrial production and import prices on inflation depends on business cycle. For this purpose, a two states Markov Switching Auto Regression model with time varying transition...

The paper aims to investigate whether the effect of the backward-looking inflation expectations, nominal effective exchange rate, money supply, gross domestic product and import prices on inflation depends on business cycle. For this purpose, a two states Markov Switching Auto Regression model...

The paper aims to investigate whether the effect of the backward-looking inflation expectations, nominal effective exchange rate, money supply, gross domestic product and import prices on inflation depends on business cycle. For this purpose, a two states Markov Switching Auto Regression model...

The paper aims to investigate whether the effect of the backward-looking inflation expectations, nominal effective exchange rate, money supply, gross domestic product and import prices on inflation depends on business cycle. For this purpose, a two states Markov Switching Auto Regression model...