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We study the relation between limit order flow, market order flow and returns. We develop a model where market-makers face inventory risk and adverse selection and show how prices depend on market and limit order flows. In the model, market-makers receive information through trade with customers...
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The poor performance of macroeconomic exchange rate models in and out-of-sample is well documented in literature. One reason for this result is the impact of ‘scapegoat' effects: that is, participants attach different weights to different macro fundamentals in different periods. On the other...
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We investigate the source of information advantage in inter-dealer FX trading using data on trades and counterparty identities. In liquid dollar exchange rates, information is concentrated among dealers that trade most frequently and specialize their activity in a particular rate. In...
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